By Tom Loftus, Louisville Courier Journal

Published 11:39 a.m. ET May 24, 2019 | Updated 2:36 p.m. ET May 26, 2019

FRANKFORT — Gov. Matt Bevin’s proposed pension bill might need to be changed to give it a chance to pass the General Assembly in a special session before July 1.

House Majority Leader John “Bam” Carney, of Campbellsville, said in a phone interview Thursday that the governor is close to securing the votes he needs in the House but isn’t there yet.

“As we get closer to July 1, I think we have to acknowledge — if the governor is willing — we may have to look at some small changes because we’ve been kind of on this number for some time now, and we have only so many more days to get this done,” Carney said.

On April 30, the governor unveiled his bill to give so-called quasi-governmental agencies relief from a spike in pension costs that take effect in July.

Since then, he’s been trying to win support of his fellow Republicans, who hold majorities in the General Assembly, so he can call a special legislative session to pass the bill by the end of June.

Related: Bevin’s pension bill is still short of votes as clock ticks for special session

Bevin did not sound inclined to make any changes when he warned an audience of about 60 people at a town hall meeting in Versailles on Tuesday of drastic implications and layoffs of “thousands” of public employees if a relief bill is not passed by the end of June.

“The bill’s done. I can tell you as a straight-up fact there has never been a bill since I have been the governor that has been more clearly explained to everybody …” Bevin said. “And anybody who’s opposed to it now, there’s no good reason other than the fact that they just want to stick it to their communities, I guess.”

The problem Bevin and lawmakers want to address is rooted in a 2017 decision of the board of the Kentucky Retirement Systems to lower key assumptions used in calculating how much government employers must pay to the state’s troubled pension plans.

The board lowered assumptions of how much interest will be earned on plan investments and of future growth of government payrolls. That resulted in a sharp increase in how much employers in the main pension plan for state workers must contribute to keep the plan afloat — from 49% of their payrolls to 83%.

State government began paying that higher rate last year, but the legislature gave a one-year delay to the quasi-governmental entities not directly controlled by the executive branch of government.

These groups include regional state universities, local health departments, mental health centers and programs that care for victims of rape, spouse abuse and child abuse.

Lawmakers passed a bill during this year’s regular session to grant another one-year delay in the higher rate that also contained provisions that would give these groups an option to pay up their liabilities to the state pension plan and get out.

But Bevin vetoed that bill. He noted it included an incorrect effective date and said he could not allow some of its provisions, including one that could result in suspension of retirement benefits to current retirees if their former employer exited the state plan but defaulted on installment payments on its liabilities.

See also: KRS asked to reconsider math that made pension costs skyrocket

The bill that Bevin now wants lawmakers to pass also gives the affected groups a one-year reprieve from paying the higher rate and a way for the groups to get out of the troubled state plan.

The problem with the bill most often cited by opponents — including former House Speaker Jeff Hoover, R-Jamestown — is within its provisions outlining how an affected group would pay up its liabilities and get out of the system.

The bill gives these employers the option to stay or leave the state plan but includes terms for paying off existing liabilities that encourage the employers to leave, freeze the accrued pensions of current employees and move them into new 401(k)-like plans for accruing future retirement benefits.

Unlike the bill passed by lawmakers that was vetoed, it does not give the employees an option to remain in the state plan with its defined benefits.

Rep. Scott Lewis, of Hartford, is one of several Republicans who says he’s concerned that this would result in a deep reduction in benefits that many employees of the affected groups have been counting on.

“The quasis really need some relief by July 1 …” Lewis said. “But the bill is tough because part of it hurts the employees, and I’m not for that. I don’t think that’s doing people right.

“I hate to say that I’m a definite no or a definite yes on this bill. … I do think something can pass if there’s some compromise,” he said.

Read more: Judge rules Bevin wrongly withheld analysis of original pension proposal

In his remarks in Versailles on Tuesday, Bevin warned that if his bill is not passed, the impact will be far greater on employees.

“I have people saying, ‘Well, I can’t support it because it doesn’t allow people to have the maximum amount of benefits into the future if they’re a member of a quasi.’ Guess what? If you don’t have a job, you have no benefits,” Bevin said.

Most, perhaps all, of the minority Democrats oppose the bill mostly because of how it would likely change benefits of many current employees — a move they say would draw a lawsuit claiming the bill violates what they say is an “inviolable contract” protecting the benefits given a public employee at the time the employee was hired.

House Democratic Whip Joni Jenkins, of Shively, said lawmakers are speculating that Bevin could call the session to begin as soon as Tuesday.

“But that’s only speculation,” Jenkins said.

She said after Bevin’s poor showing in Tuesday’s primary election — winning with only 52.4% of the vote in the Republican gubernatorial primary over lesser-known opponents — might have been a setback in the governor’s efforts to secure votes of wavering Republicans.

“I wonder how many House Republicans, after seeing the governor’s unpopularity, are willing to go out on a limb for him now,” Jenkins said.

Politics: Kentucky teachers could play key role in Bevin-Beshear race

But Senate Majority Leader Damon Thayer, R-Georgetown, said, “I think it would be very dangerous for people to continue to play politics with this issue, and it’s my hope that now that the primaries are over and people extracted their pound of flesh, we can move on and focus on the policies and doing the right thing.

“We’re running out of time,” he said. “But maybe time will be a friend to the process as we get closer to July 1 and certain individuals realize the closer we get, the more likely it is that these quasi agencies are going to be under severe duress. Maybe they’ll come around and decide that voting for a bill that isn’t perfect is better than not having a bill at all.”

Reporter Tom Loftus can be reached at 502-875-5136 or [email protected]. Twitter: @TomLoftus_CJ. Support strong local journalism by subscribing today: courier-journal.com/toml.